Latest Michigan & Arizona Polls

Before we get to the latest polls, please note that in lieu of a column today, I refer you to my participation in a roundtable discussion, found here, at the online literary magazine, Construction. As part of ongoing coverage on the election, Construction writers Ben Hoffman, Anthony Resnick, Stephen Kurczy, and I answered several key questions heading into the Michigan and Arizona primaries, and I think you should take a look. The questions were:

Can Romney lose Michigan and still win the nomination?
Why hasn't Romney fully connected already?
Did any of the former candidates make a mistake by dropping out too early?When, if ever, will Gingrich drop out?All right, onto the latest polls. I'll go with the last four from each state and the last four national polls at the bottom. If you're looking for the latest delegate count or Republican Primary schedule, click here.

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Michigan and Arizona Primary Polling (most recent polls at top)

Michigan Primary (30 delegates, awarded by congressional district)PPP (D), 2/26 - 2/26, 4.8 Margin of Error
Romney--39 (+2 over Santorum)
Santorum--37
Paul--13
Gingrich--9WeAskAmerica, 2/26 - 2/26, 3.1 MoE
Romney--37 (+4)
Santorum--33
Gingrich--18
Paul--13Rasmussen Reports, 2/23 - 2/23, 4.0 MoE
Romney--40 (+6)
Santorum--34
Paul--10
Gingrich--9Mitchell/Rosetta Stone, 2/23 - 2/23, 4.7 MoE
Romney--36 (+3)
Santorum--33
Paul--12
Romney--9Michigan Polling Average, 2/23-2/26Romney--38 (flatline)
Santorum--34.3 (flatline)
Paul--13.3 (trending up)
Gingrich--9.2 (flatline)

Average Romney lead: 2.4Trend: Slightly Romney
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Arizona Primary (28 delegates, winner-take-all)Rasmussen Reports, 2/23 - 2/23
Romney--42 (Up 13 on Santorum)
Santorum--29
Gingrich--16
Paul--8NBC News/Marist, 2/19 - 2/20
Romney--43 (+16)
Santorum--27
Gingrich--16
Paul--11WeAskAmerica, 2/19 - 2/20
Romney--37 (+10)
Santorum--27
Gingrich--15
Paul--8CNN/Time, 2/17 - 2/20
Romney--36 (+4)
Santorum--32
Gingrich--18
Paul--6Arizona Polling Average, 2/17 - 2/23Romney--39.5 (locked up)
Santorum--28.8
Gingrich--16.3
Paul--8.3

Arizona Average Romney lead on Santorum: 10.7
Trend: Romney putting Santorum away
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National Polls from the last weekGallup Tracking, 2/21 - 2/25, Margin of Error 4.0
Romney--31 (Romney +2 over Santoroum)

Santorum--29
Gingrich--15
Paul--11

Politico/GWU/Battleground, 2/19 - 2/22
Santorum--36 (+2)
Romney--34
Gingrich--13
Paul--7Associated Press/GfK, 2/16 - 2/20
Santorum--33 (+1)
Romney--32
Gingrich--15
Paul--15

Quinnipiac, 2/14 - 2/20, MoE 2.9
Santorum--35 (+9)
Romney--26
Gingrich--14
Paul--11

National Polling Average, 2/20-2/25
Santorum--33.25 (+2.5)
Romney--30.75
Gingrich--13.75
Paul--11
National Trend: Romney. Throw out the fourth to last poll and it's a dead heat, whereas a week ago it was all Romney.

Reminder: check out my participation today in the Construction's presidential politics roundtable